What will a Ukrainian victory bring to the World. What is the victory of Ukraine. In simple words for foreigners and children
Elevator pitch about victory from the point of view of Ukraine in the Moscow-Ukrainian war.
Times of Troubles in Moscow and its strategic defeat
The Zalissya region (Moscow and territories within a radius of 50-100) will be cleared by unlimited methods. This is the center of evil. Something like Prussia – the heart of evil of socialist Germany during the Second World War. Most likely, this will happen due to the loss of political legitimacy in the Kremlin, when the old legitimate emperor is already dead, and the new candidates are at war with each other (not being able to seize control of the entire empire and voluntarily slicing it into personal fiefdoms for each of the candidates). This situation is so rooted in the political reality of Muscovy that they even have a special word for it – “Times of Trouble”.
Spring of Nations 3.0
The liberated nations proclaim their national republics. The world will receive free Tatarstan, Buryatstan, Yakutia, the independent Republic of Novgorod (with its capital in St. Petersburg), Mokshania, Erzyania, Chechnya, Dagestan, Idel-Ural, in short, a whole host of Siberian, Caucasian, Finno-Hungarian, and northern states. Including, the Muscovite nation will be recognized as a nation for the first time in history. On the national territory of Muscovites, their state will be liquidated with a strict ban on having their own state. The region will be under an international protectorate, similar to the liquidation of the state of Socialist Germany after 1945 (Ukrainian military bases are located for an unlimited period, similar to how US bases are still located on German territory).
Return of all territories
All occupied territories of other states are liberated. Japan gets back the Northern territories, Finland gets Karelia, the territories of Georgia are de-occupied, the territories of Moldova are de-occupied, all the territories of Ukraine are de-occupied, including Crimea, Donbas, Eastern Slobozhanshchyna, Starodubshchyna, Kuban (Kursk-Bilhorod-Taganrig vector, the common Ukrainian-Kazakh border is restored). Belarus returns historical regions along the Bryansk-Smolensk vector. China is returning some of its historical territories in the Far East. Kazakhstan returns its historical territories of Orynbor (so-called Orenburg) in the east and north. Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia restore their eastern borders to a fair level. The Königsberg region is shared between Lithuania and Poland (probably with the compensation of some territory to Germany from the Polish side)
New economic region
From the point of view of the international economy, the World is getting dozens of free national countries that will be (at least partially) inclined to democracy, because the historical conclusion is simple – democracy has defeated dictatorship, and therefore there is no alternative, again. The trade “Silk Road” from China to the EU will pass through only 2 countries: Kazakhstan and Ukraine. The Caspian-Black Sea-Baltic trade region will regain its importance, as it was in historical times. This will contribute to the reconstruction and restoration of all free parties after the damages of the war.
New International Union
From the point of view of international politics, the World receives dozens of free national countries. They will be very different in terms of political, social, cultural and even religious systems. It will not be possible to automatically take all of them into the EU or NATO. It will probably be worth creating a new lightweight international organization that will connect only the key issues of trade and defense, but not imposing deeper issues, as the modern EU does. It is logical to see the great powers Ukraine and the United Kingdom at the head of the new organization. It will be similar to the British Commonwealth, by the way, Prime Minister Boris Johnson has already publicly proposed something similar to Ukraine. It is fair, thanks to the victory and restoration of purely defensive weapons of deterrence, Ukraine becomes a guarantor of security in the East European and West Asian region.
Historical examples
From the point of view of future history, the disposal of the former Muscovite Empire and the reformatting of the geopolitical space will resemble such historical periods as the victory of Ruthenia+Lithuania+Crimea over the Golden Horde, as well as the times after the First World War with the collapse of empires and the restoration of many nation-states. You can read more about this in the full book on the history of Ukraine at the link.
Denuclearization
Nuclear disarmament of the states of the former Muscovite Empire will take place. Ukraine’s victory will give the whole World greater global security and a smaller number of nuclear devices on the planet. Ukrainian victory will be a positive example to the whole World that dictatorships are doomed to defeat, even if they have a nuclear trump card.